Bad Data Leads to Bad Science – GIGO

- Image by Rétrofuturs (Hulk4598) / Stéphane Massa-Bidal via Flickr
I just watched a debate on CNN between two senators about the impact of climate-gate. One remark by the democratic Senator showed that he simply didn't understand the depth of the problem climate-gate has created. What he said was that scientists in every country of the world had signed off on global warming, and the UN had as well. What he failed to get is that all that agreement is based on data from one source: East Anglia. That is the root of all the climate data used, and that data is now in question. If the books have been cooked, it doesn't matter whether every person in the world agreed.
In the world of politics it makes a real difference how many people agree with you. Science is not a popularity contest and therefore fundamentally different. All that matters is drawing the correct conclusion from the data. When that data is corrupted through faulty procedures or outright falsified and incomplete, any conclusions drawn from it will be wrong, no matter how many people are duped.
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Global Warming Counter-point
My previous post about climate gate was somewhat rabid when I look back on it. The perfect thing to give balance on issues like this is to quote people more intelligent (and better writers) than myself. Therefore, I heartily recommend this article that appeared in Tom's Dispatch today, written by Bill McKibben. Mister McKibben is the founder of the 350 movement that launched over 2000 rallies around the world to draw attention to global warming. According to him, if we treat this issue as a political one human life on this planet is pretty much over. Give it a read. It'll certainly make you think.

Climategate – Tell us the truth about global warming

- Cover of State of Fear
Michael Crichton wrote a book called 'State of Fear' a few years ago. The central thesis of the book was that anthropogenetic (caused by man) global warming was a myth. Actually, according to him, it was a conspiracy on the part of some in the scientific community. He claimed that the supporters of global warming were basing their results on cherry-picked data and bad computer models. There was also a campaign by some climate researchers to take over the whole field of climatology in order to suppress any contradicting research and discredit scientists who opposed their view.
Crichton was condemned as a fascist apologists for big oil and business as usual. I thought he made a lot of sense and at least kept an open mind. I remember well many spirited discussions when I suggested that global warming was unproved. The general opinion was that my open mind had progressed to an empty head.
What a shame that Crichton died before seeing this day. Just a short time before the Copenhagen Summit, the entire hypothesis of global warming is in shambles.
Just google climategate and have a wee read.
One thing to keep in mind is that there are two questions to be asked here:
- Is the world's climate getting warmer?
- If so, did people cause the increase in temperature?
Most of the anti-fossil fuel, green technology movement depends on a yes answer to both questions.
This is a shame, really, because there are a lot of reasons to go green that have nothing at all to do with global warming. Improving air quality and not consuming non-renewable resources unnecessarily come to mind. It would be really good to cut back on the consumption of meat for health and economic reasons, as well, and that would be true whether the theories of cow farts being a major greenhouse gas are true or not.
Its too bad, but the green movement seems to be tied to global warming like some bizarre Siamese twin and I'm afraid efforts to separate them will result in the death of both. If that happens, the whole human race will be worse off because the green technologies will go back on the shelf until all the oil and natural gas has been consumed.
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- Climategate, The Consequences (andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com)
- Writing from beyond the grave (openitstrategies.com)
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